Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.194181 1.380057 1.584727 1.826736 2.105032 2.414998 2.786433
2025-04-20 0.925558 1.165783 1.453071 1.821703 2.282013 2.837775 3.559876
2025-04-27 0.764424 1.038009 1.389615 1.874041 2.523783 3.364973 4.537086
2025-05-04 0.636652 0.924750 1.319636 1.899381 2.728123 3.869733 5.562293
2025-05-11 0.533724 0.824054 1.245877 1.901773 2.894820 4.341300 6.608873
2025-05-18 0.439256 0.717308 1.143462 1.841878 2.956312 4.664408 7.481703
2025-05-25 0.357978 0.615711 1.030718 1.744705 2.940470 4.861108 8.180405
2025-06-01 0.309666 0.558751 0.978518 1.733731 3.056095 5.273409 9.273135
2025-06-08 0.266074 0.502214 0.917545 1.696804 3.119353 5.602540 10.264789
2025-06-15 0.249066 0.490112 0.931160 1.791361 3.423191 6.379142 12.137169
2025-06-22 0.226150 0.463093 0.913297 1.824413 3.617269 6.981322 13.767696
2025-06-29 0.200441 0.426453 0.871712 1.805331 3.708011 7.400438 15.102619
2025-07-06 0.168960 0.374119 0.793840 1.707015 3.637167 7.516354 15.894114
2025-07-13 0.156201 0.359186 0.789543 1.759100 3.880178 8.286045 18.117631
2025-07-20 0.147625 0.352030 0.800510 1.845310 4.207682 9.272259 20.933126
2025-07-27 0.136734 0.337827 0.794035 1.892082 4.455855 10.123564 23.575930
2025-08-03 0.124858 0.319336 0.775130 1.907576 4.635494 10.848568 26.036925
2025-08-10 0.110143 0.291466 0.730268 1.855098 4.649087 11.201662 27.690465
2025-08-17 0.095061 0.260103 0.672241 1.761537 4.549666 11.278162 28.694998
2025-08-24 0.086393 0.244019 0.649557 1.753005 4.658893 11.864193 31.021247
2025-08-31 0.077409 0.225583 0.618138 1.717159 4.693301 12.271314 32.954345
2025-09-07 0.075247 0.225765 0.635570 1.813763 5.088232 13.634138 37.533750
2025-09-14 0.070570 0.217976 0.630372 1.847786 5.319790 14.606171 41.212334